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Andy Burnham Set to Contest Makerfield By-Election as Polls Show Reform Lead

If he wins the 18 June seat Burnham could return to Parliament and press a leadership challenge that would reshape Labour's short-term strategy.

Overview

  • Labour confirmed Andy Burnham as its candidate for the Makerfield by-election on 18 June and he is widely viewed inside the party as the frontrunner to replace Keir Starmer.
  • A BMG poll reported this week shows a Burnham-led Labour at 20% and Reform UK at 23%, suggesting a modest 'Burnham bump' but leaving Reform ahead nationally.
  • Burnham told The Observer he 'would try and work with all political parties' and has not ruled out cooperation with the Greens when asked about electoral pacts.
  • Several outlets report that Burnham's team is 'wargaming' a snap general election and discussing cabinet line-ups but those claims are based on unnamed insiders and Burnham has urged people not to believe unconfirmed stories.
  • Winning Makerfield is the necessary first step for any formal leadership bid because party rules require an MP to secure 81 Labour MP nominations to trigger a contest, and the seat is unusually competitive given its Leave vote and strong Reform UK support.