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Analysts Clash Over GE Vernova Valuation After GLJ Sell Call

The debate turns on whether recent turbine demand marks a lasting shift that justifies a high multiple or a temporary cyclical spike that does not.

Overview

  • GLJ Research issued a Sell rating arguing GE Vernova is a cyclical gas-turbine maker trading at about 38.9x forward EV/EBITDA and forecasting 2027 EBITDA of $7.42 billion, roughly 22% below Wall Street consensus.
  • Bernstein defended the company’s outlook by noting that data centers made up about 38% of electrification orders while utilities comprised the rest and kept a Buy rating with a $1,298 target.
  • GE Vernova shares fell about 8.5% after the GLJ report and then stabilized as most analysts continued to rate the stock a Buy.
  • Institutional positioning shows modest de-risking with hedge fund ownership falling from 118 funds in Q1 to 106 in Q2 and short interest remaining low at about 3.29% of float.
  • A separate commercial win — a wind turbine supply agreement with Eurus in Japan — and the timing of turbine orders and deliveries are being cited by defenders as signals of durable demand while the valuation dispute remains unresolved.