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Analyses Show Deep U.S. Missile Drawdown in Iran War

Analysts warn depleted stocks could take years to rebuild.

Overview

  • New reporting says the U.S. has fired more than 1,200 Patriot interceptors, over 1,000 Tomahawks, about 1,100 long‑range stealth cruise missiles, and more than 1,000 Precision Strike and ATACMS since the campaign began on Feb. 28.
  • An assessment by the Center for Strategic and International Studies estimates key inventories fell roughly 45% to 50% and projects one to four years to restore prewar levels at current production rates.
  • Independent tallies put war costs in the low tens of billions, with estimates of $25 billion to $35 billion so far and about $5.6 billion spent in the first two days of strikes.
  • To sustain operations, the Pentagon moved missiles and other assets from Asia and Europe to the Middle East, which officials and analysts say has reduced near‑term readiness for potential crises with China or Russia.
  • The White House disputes claims of dangerous shortfalls, while the Pentagon says forces have what they need even as it seeks new congressional funding and signs surge deals with contractors to expand output.