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American Express Stock Down 10% as Markets Pin Hopes on July 24 Earnings

A cheaper valuation forces investors to weigh whether steady revenue growth and premium-customer momentum can justify a rerating after solid first-quarter results.

Overview

  • American Express reported an 11% rise in revenue and a 15% jump in net income in the first quarter, with CEO Stephen J. Squeri citing continued momentum among premium cardmembers.
  • The company has delivered a roughly 13.1% revenue compound annual growth rate over the past three years, supporting its shift toward higher-fee products.
  • The stock is down about 10% year-to-date and trades at a 22 price-to-earnings ratio versus roughly 31 for Visa and Mastercard, making the July 24 earnings report a near-term catalyst for investors.
  • AmEx’s business combines card issuing, banking and merchant acquiring, which produces fee-driven revenue and different credit exposure than network-only peers and helps explain its lower multiple.
  • Management is emphasizing card fees and expanded NBA and NFL partnerships to attract higher-income and younger cardmembers, a strategy designed to steady revenue if consumer spending softens.