Overview
- A University of North Florida poll conducted July 8–17 finds 61% support under a neutral framing but support falls to 45% and opposition rises to 47% once respondents are told the Florida Legislature’s Office of Economic and Demographic Research estimates about $11.8 billion in annual local revenue losses.
- The amendment would raise the homestead exemption for non‑school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, keep the $25,000 school exemption intact, allow portability, cap other property assessment increases at 5% per year, and restrict local spending to enumerated core services like public safety and infrastructure.
- State economists project the measure would cut local property‑tax revenue by about $5 billion in its first year and roughly $11.8 billion per year after several years, with large counties facing the biggest dollar losses (Miami‑Dade about $445 million) and commuter or rural counties losing the largest share of revenue (St. Lucie estimated near 35%).
- Political support is fracturing: the Florida Democratic Party and major public‑safety groups have formally opposed the amendment, no statewide pro‑Amendment campaign has materialized, and prominent Republicans have publicly tempered active advocacy or voiced concern about local impacts.
- Legal fights over ballot wording by plaintiffs including Jeff Brandes and Al Lawson are pending, and both the final ballot language and whether voters are told the EDR fiscal estimate are now seen as decisive factors shaping whether the measure reaches the 60% threshold required to pass.