Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Amazon's Cloud Shift Fuels Bullish Valuation Case

AWS growth along with wider margins and rising custom‑chip revenue suggest higher future profit potential that underpins analysts' projection of a possible doubling by 2030.

Overview

  • The company's Q2 results, reported Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026, showed trailing 12‑month revenue of $775 billion and AWS revenue up 37% year over year.
  • Non‑retail businesses grew faster than e‑commerce, with non‑retail revenue up 24% to $124 billion and AWS supplying about 60% of Amazon's operating income.
  • Amazon's trailing 12‑month operating margin expanded to 12.7% from 6.5% in 2023, and reported Q2 EPS rose 242% to $5.75 per share largely because of non‑operating gains from the Anthropic investment.
  • Demand for Amazon's custom chips (Trainium and Graviton) is running at more than $25 billion annualized and the company says it has a roughly $496 billion AWS backlog, both cited as drivers of higher long‑term margins.
  • Analysts have modeled a scenario where 20% annual earnings growth and a 20x forward P/E could roughly double the stock by 2030, a view that depends on continued AWS momentum, margin gains and execution on large AI and infrastructure investments.