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Amazon Poised to Overtake Microsoft in Race to $3 Trillion Market Value

Investor shifts on AI and stronger AWS momentum raise Amazon’s odds of reaching $3 trillion before Microsoft.

Overview

  • Recent stock moves have narrowed the gap between the two companies, with Amazon near a $2.6 trillion market cap and Microsoft near $2.8 trillion.
  • Analysts and models project that a modest further rise in Amazon shares could put it over a $3 trillion valuation later this summer, though that outcome is a forecast not a certainty.
  • Amazon’s latest quarter showed its strongest top-line growth in four years with a 17% rise in net sales, and AWS remains the primary profit engine for the company.
  • Microsoft has posted strong revenue growth in recent quarters but its share price has fallen about 22% year-to-date, a decline that has materially tightened Amazon’s path upward.
  • Both firms are spending heavily on data centers and AI infrastructure, a level of capital expenditure that will shape cloud capacity, AI product rollouts and future investor sentiment.