Particle.news
Download on the App Store
9 ARTICLES
·
last mo.

Aliança Catalana Surges to Become Catalonia’s Second Party in New Poll

Polling suggests the surge fragments the parliament, raising risks to stable government formation if the party expands beyond regional elections.

Sílvia Orriols, la líder de Aliança Catalana, en el Parlament.
María Jesús Montero (mirando de frente), en su escaño en un pleno del Parlamento andaluz el pasado jueves.
Salvador Illa, Oriol Junqueras, Jèssica Albiach, Sílvia Orriols, Pilar Castillejo, Carles Puigdemont, Alejandro Fernández e Ignacio Garriga.
Ignacio Garriga (Vox) y Sílvia Orriols (Aliança Catalana).

Overview

  • A GESOP survey conducted 16–22 July projects Aliança Catalana at about 16.8% of the vote and 25–28 seats, making it the second force in Catalonia in the poll’s projection.
  • The same poll estimates the PSC would remain the largest party with roughly 25% and 34–37 seats, a fall from its 42 seats after the 2024 election.
  • GESOP and the CEO barometer both put the combined vote for Aliança and Vox near 25–26%, which would give those parties roughly 41 seats and substantially increase parliamentary fragmentation.
  • Voters in the GESOP survey say the far‑right rise is driven mainly by distrust of traditional parties (82%) and concerns about public insecurity (81.3%), with social media, immigration, and cost of living also cited.
  • The poll shows unusually high voter fidelity to Aliança and broad transfers from Junts, PSC, Vox, ERC and others, a shift that analysts say complicates coalition math and could affect national politics if Aliança abandons its stated regional-only stance that is not yet codified in law.