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Alex Cora Predicts 30 Home Runs for Wilyer Abreu in 2026

The forecast runs counter to analytics that project limited power across Boston’s lineup.

Overview

  • ESPN’s Tim Kurkjian said on the Baseball Tonight podcast that Cora told him this spring Abreu will hit 30 homers.
  • FanGraphs’ ZiPs projects no Red Sox hitter to reach 20 home runs, with Abreu in the high teens to low 20s and Baseball-Reference at 19.
  • Abreu’s power has climbed from 15 homers as a 2024 rookie to 22 with 69 RBIs in 115 games in 2025, and he owns back-to-back Gold Gloves.
  • During the 2026 World Baseball Classic, Abreu hit a three-run homer vs. Japan and a solo shot vs. the United States as Venezuela captured the title.
  • Cora has identified Abreu as the everyday right fielder, while returns from the WBC leave Boston’s outfield crowded with Ceddanne Rafaela expected in center and Jarren Duran still tied to trade chatter.