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Alaska Air Lowers Q3 Profit Forecast Citing Higher Jet‑Fuel Costs

Rising jet‑fuel costs tied to renewed U.S.–Iran fighting are stripping carrier profits, prompting airlines to shift fuel supplies and raise fares.

Overview

  • Alaska Air reported a second‑quarter adjusted loss of $0.92 per share and cut its third‑quarter adjusted profit guide to $0 to $1 per share, below the $1.38 consensus.
  • The carrier said it expects economic jet fuel to average about $3.75 per gallon in Q3 after paying $4.43 per gallon in Q2, and it blamed renewed U.S.–Iran hostilities and shipping disruptions for recent price rises.
  • U.S. airlines are facing multi‑billion‑dollar fuel hits for the year with carriers taking different paths on outlooks and costs; United has said its 2026 fuel bill could run nearly $6 billion above earlier plans.
  • Airlines are responding by raising fares, trimming capacity and cutting other costs, and Alaska is accelerating fuel‑supply diversification by importing more product from Singapore to reduce West Coast exposure.
  • Fuel normally makes up about a quarter of an airline’s operating costs, so sustained price volatility could drive higher ticket prices for travelers and force further route or schedule changes over coming quarters.