Overview
- Airline shares fell Thursday after fresh war comments suggested a longer conflict, and TD Cowen lowered sector price targets on expectations of sustained high fuel costs and cooling demand.
- Jet fuel has roughly doubled in recent weeks to multi‑year highs, outpacing crude oil, according to IATA and S&P Global data, which makes each flight far more expensive to operate.
- United disclosed it will trim about 5% of capacity over the next six months and carriers are leaning on fees to recoup costs, with JetBlue raising most bag charges by $10 as fuel bills surge.
- Ryanair warned it may cancel 5% to 10% of flights in May through July if pressures persist, while Chinese airlines are shaving weight, taxiing on one engine, and routing more flights over Russia to cut fuel burn.
- Surveys show fewer Americans plan trips as prices rise, transatlantic tickets are about $200 higher than a month ago, and even private flyers face 5% to 20% fuel surcharges, pointing to broader travel strain as fuel typically makes up 20% to 30% of airline costs.