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AI Spending Plans Rattle Markets as Alphabet and Amazon Map Record 2026 Capex

Credit investors flag mounting borrowing risks from the AI buildout.

Overview

  • Alphabet’s Q4 showcased operational strength, with Google Cloud revenue up 48% to $17.7 billion and segment operating income up 154% to $5.3 billion.
  • Alphabet guided to $175–$185 billion in 2026 capital spending and Amazon outlined roughly $200 billion, helping drive a sharp sell-off that erased about $1 trillion from big‑tech valuations.
  • Money managers warn that hyperscaler outlays will mean heavier bond issuance, as tech notes weaken relative to Treasuries and investment‑grade spreads edge wider.
  • Fresh automation tools from Anthropic accelerated disruption fears, sending software shares lower, with the IGV ETF dropping 12% over four sessions and about $611 billion in sector value wiped out before a partial rebound.
  • Analysts remain constructive on Alphabet with price target hikes after earnings, and a San Francisco court ruling narrowed potential privacy-case damages by dismissing a $2.36 billion penalty while leaving a $425 million jury award in place.