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AI From Consumer Wearables Predicts Emotional and Cognitive Fluctuations, UNIGE Study Finds

The peer‑reviewed proof‑of‑concept reports an average 12.5% error rate with stronger accuracy for emotions than for cognition.

Overview

  • Researchers tracked 88 adults aged 45 to 77 over 10 months using a smartphone app and smartwatch that passively collected 21 indicators including heart rate, activity, sleep, weather and air pollution.
  • Participants completed questionnaires and cognitive tests every three months, providing benchmarks to compare against AI predictions from the passive data.
  • Emotional states were predicted most accurately, with error rates typically between 5% and 10%, while cognitive states showed higher errors of roughly 10% to 20%.
  • Air pollution, weather, daily heart rate and sleep variability emerged as the most informative signals for cognition, and weather, sleep variability and sleep heart rate were most informative for emotions.
  • The work, published in npj Digital Medicine and conducted under the Providemus alz project, has moved into a 24‑month follow‑up to evaluate longer‑term performance and individual variability.