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AI Data Centers Send PJM Capacity Prices Soaring and Raise Rust Belt Factory Power Bills

Rapid data center demand has outpaced new generation and pushed PJM to order emergency demand cuts to protect the grid.

Overview

  • PJM’s capacity price has jumped from about $28.92 per megawatt-day in 2024 to roughly $329.17 per megawatt-day in 2026, a surge driven mainly by clustered AI data-center builds in the 13-state PJM region.
  • Manufacturers are seeing immediate pain from higher capacity charges, with the Belden Brick Company reporting a monthly capacity fee rise from $1,600 to $12,000 and Metallus saying its electricity costs climbed about 70% since 2024.
  • Searing summer demand forced PJM to ask some users to curb usage to avoid rolling blackouts, showing the grid is under near-term strain where data centers have concentrated load faster than new power plants or transmission can be added.
  • Regulators are racing to respond: FERC has proposed charging transmission fees on onsite generation and multiple states have pending rules to manage data-center demand, and manufacturers are appealing for exemptions and greater scrutiny of demand estimates.
  • Capacity charges pay generators to meet peak demand so they affect big energy users most, and experts say the clash between rapid data-center growth, plant retirements and transmission limits could raise long-term costs for factories and spur shifts to onsite power, changed shifts, price increases, or relocation.