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After El Mencho’s Killing, Mexico Confronts CJNG Succession and Wider Cartel Wars

Analysts say the cartel’s franchise model keeps regional operations running despite the loss of its figurehead.

Overview

  • Mexican special forces killed Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera on Feb. 22 in a Tapalpa raid after U.S. intelligence pinpointed his location.
  • CJNG mounted coordinated reprisals across multiple states, with officials reporting 25 National Guard members, a state prosecutor and a civilian killed, and 30 gunmen shot dead by security forces.
  • Leadership remains unsettled with contenders including stepson Juan Carlos “03” Valencia, Ricardo “RR” Ruiz, Audias “El Jardinero” Flores and Abraham “El Yogurth” Ambriz, while Rubén “El Menchito” Oseguera is serving a U.S. life sentence.
  • The group’s diversified finances and penetration of legal sectors such as avocados, citrus and mining, along with laundering via Los Cuinis, shell companies and crypto, make asset recovery difficult.
  • Separate factional warfare in Sinaloa continues with thousands killed or disappeared, prompting a presidential visit and sustained federal deployments as authorities watch for succession‑related violence.