Overview
- Experts warn CJNG is likely to splinter as factions compete for territory, raising the risk of short‑term violence and shifting trafficking routes.
- Recommended response centers on tracking emerging leaders, watching alliance changes, and targeting supply chains that sustain operations.
- Following the Feb. 22 operation, the U.S. State Department issued travel alerts in multiple states citing blockades and criminal activity linked to security actions.
- Under Oseguera, CJNG expanded into key corridors feeding U.S. drug markets and became a major fentanyl and methamphetamine conduit, drawing a $15 million U.S. reward for his capture.
- With World Cup matches coming to Mexico City, Guadalajara and Monterrey, analysts expect authorities to bolster federal deployments, including the National Guard, to deter high‑impact violence.