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AfD Tops New National Poll at 27%, Registers Record Lead Over Germany’s Union

The GMS finding underscores a year-long swing toward the AfD, contrasting with surveys that still place the Union first.

Overview

  • GMS reports AfD at 27% and CDU/CSU at 24%, the largest AfD advantage over the Union yet recorded in a nationwide poll, a notable result for a firm that has often measured lower AfD support.
  • The survey was conducted among 1,027 eligible voters between 23 December 2025 and 5 January 2026.
  • Compared with GMS results a year earlier, the AfD gained nine points and the Union lost nine, marking an 18-point shift in the balance between the two.
  • An Insa poll from the same period also showed the AfD leading with 26% to the Union’s 25%, while other major institutes such as Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Allensbach and Infratest dimap show the Union ahead or a tie.
  • GMS shows limited movement for other parties: SPD 15%, Greens 12%, Linke 10%, BSW 4%, FDP 3%, Freie Wähler 2%, and others 3%.