Overview
- Leif‑Erik Holm publicly set a roughly 43 percent vote target for the AfD at the party’s campaign kickoff in Stralsund as the goal for an outright single‑party government.
- Polls continue to show the AfD leading in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern but below Holm’s target, with Infratest dimap placing the party near 36 percent in the state and about 41 percent in Saxony‑Anhalt.
- Holm said the AfD hopes to ride momentum from the Saxony‑Anhalt result, which occurs about two weeks before the Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern vote, to generate an unprecedented late campaign surge.
- Dario Seifert, the AfD state secretary‑general, dismissed the likely durability of anti‑AfD coalitions and framed short‑lived opposition pacts as opening space for AfD rule.
- A Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern election is set for 20 September and an outright AfD majority would depend on vote shares and proportional seat rules, a shift that could reshape regional coalitions and policy choices in the northeast.