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AfD Hits Record 28% in Insa Poll, Opening Four-Point Lead Over CDU/CSU

The new reading highlights shifting coalition math with smaller parties below the 5 percent entry bar.

Overview

  • Following Saturday's Insa Sonntagstrend release, the AfD registers 28 percent, a one-point weekly gain and the highest level the institute has measured for the party.
  • The poll places the CDU/CSU at 24 percent, SPD at 14, Greens at 12, and the Left at 11, while the FDP and the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance each sit at 3 percent and would not enter parliament under Germany’s 5 percent rule.
  • The reported shares suggest the CDU/CSU and SPD together would fall short of a majority at 38 percent, while AfD, Greens, and the Left total 51 percent, though parties largely reject working with the AfD, steering any path to power toward three-party deals.
  • Insa surveyed 1,203 eligible voters from April 20 to 24 for Bild am Sonntag, and the results reflect a snapshot of opinion that can shift with sampling error and late decisions by voters.
  • Other firms have recorded similar gains for the AfD, with YouGov recently measuring 27 percent, signaling a broader rise across providers rather than a one-off result.