Overview
- The ARD Deutschlandtrend poll, conducted Monday and Tuesday, shows the Union at 26%, the AfD at 25%, and the SPD at 12%, which is the Social Democrats’ weakest score since 2019.
- Only 15% say they are satisfied with the federal government’s work, down 10 points from early March, and Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s approval stands at 21% after an eight-point drop.
- Lars Klingbeil falls to 18% approval and Bärbel Bas to 15%, reflecting a broader slide in ratings for senior figures across the coalition and opposition.
- Two-thirds of respondents feel taxes and social contributions are too high, rising to 72% among working-age people, with sharp splits by party as 87% of AfD backers say the burden is excessive and most Green supporters call it adequate.
- Large majorities endorse tax shifts that raise rates on higher incomes and cut them for low and middle incomes (76%) and support higher taxes on alcohol, tobacco, and soft drinks (72%), with the survey of 1,316 adults carried out by phone and online and described as a snapshot, not a forecast.