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AfD Climbs to Second in NRW as CDU Slips and SPD Sinks to Fourth

Falling satisfaction with the state and federal governments is reshaping voter views on competence.

Overview

  • The latest Forsa NRW-Check, published Wednesday, shows CDU at 32%, AfD 20%, Greens 17%, SPD 14%, Linke 6% and FDP 3%.
  • Voter sentiment toward the Düsseldorf government has turned negative at 51% dissatisfied versus 42% satisfied, and Hendrik Wüst’s rating has dropped to 47% satisfied and 39% dissatisfied.
  • A continuation of the CDU–Green coalition still adds up, and 39% of respondents say they would prefer to keep this pairing after the 2027 vote.
  • The SPD’s slide is compounded by low recognition of its lead candidate Jochen Ott at 8% and by more voters crediting the AfD with handling crime, the economy, migration and traffic better.
  • Dissatisfaction with the federal government has jumped to 80%, and 77% say they are unhappy with Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s performance, a backdrop that pollsters link to the sourer mood in NRW.