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Acton Holds Narrow Lead Over Ramaswamy in New Ohio Poll

The poll raises questions about electability because voters see Ramaswamy as the probable winner despite Acton’s small edge.

Overview

  • The Bowling Green State University/YouGov survey of 1,000 likely Ohio voters, released Wednesday, put Amy Acton at 48 percent and Vivek Ramaswamy at 45 percent with a roughly 3.96 percent margin of error.
  • Acton leads modestly on favorability, 41 percent to 36 percent, but voters say Ramaswamy is far more likely to win the election, 62 percent to 36 percent.
  • Acton is campaigning on affordability and a bipartisan governing pitch that stresses problem-solving across party lines to win over voters.
  • Ramaswamy’s campaign dismissed the poll’s meaning and has pressed attacks on Acton’s record while the race has featured contested ads and a reported early-September incident in which a man lunged at Acton and was arrested.
  • Even if Acton wins, a Republican supermajority in the Ohio General Assembly would limit her ability to pass priority legislation, making turnout, debates, and ad messaging key factors to watch before Nov. 3.