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Abu Dhabi Talks Yield Prisoner Swap and U.S.–Russia Military Channel as New START Expires

The core dispute over Donetsk remains unresolved, with renewed Russian strikes on energy infrastructure highlighting the fragility of the diplomacy.

Overview

  • U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff announced an agreement for a 314-person prisoner exchange reached during the Abu Dhabi meetings.
  • The Pentagon said Washington and Moscow will restart a high-level military-to-military dialogue, with Gen. Alexus Grynkewich authorized to engage his Russian counterpart Gen. Valery Gerasimov to reduce escalation risks.
  • The New START treaty expired today, ending the last formal U.S.–Russia arms-control limit, with media reports of a possible informal adherence period unconfirmed by officials.
  • Russia resumed large-scale strikes on Ukraine’s power grid after a brief pause, and a market strike in the east caused civilian casualties as outages spread during severe cold.
  • Territorial terms remain the main impasse as Moscow demands Ukrainian withdrawal from Donetsk, a position Kyiv rejects, while a Financial Times report describes an unconfirmed European rapid-reaction plan for ceasefire enforcement.