Particle.news
Download on the App Store

98th Oscars Race Tightens as 'Sinners' Challenges 'One Battle After Another' After Key SAG Wins

SAG victories signal a late surge for Sinners.

Overview

  • Final voting closed March 5 under a new Academy rule requiring members to view all nominees in a category, a change linked to late shifts reported in anonymous ballots.
  • Sinners leads all films with a record 16 nominations and captured SAG’s best ensemble along with Michael B. Jordan’s lead-actor win.
  • Despite that momentum, One Battle After Another holds PGA, DGA and BAFTA trophies, keeping Best Picture and Director framed as a two-film contest.
  • Jessie Buckley has emerged as the prevailing Best Actress pick for Hamnet in late-published ballots and forecasting.
  • Supporting races remain volatile, with SAG honoring Sean Penn and Amy Madigan, ballots noting a late Penn bump, and strong support coalescing for Sinners actor Wunmi Mosaku.